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The CFTC has approved Gemini's Designated Contract Market license, enabling the launch of a prediction market and potential expansion into crypto futures and options. This approval comes as the regulatory landscape for prediction markets shifts, with increased support from current CFTC leadership.
The article discusses the rise of prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, highlighting their appeal to both traditional finance and tech sectors. It contrasts the formal Wall Street image with the casual style of younger entrepreneurs in the space. The piece touches on a notable meeting between industry leaders, symbolizing this convergence.
Coinbase is set to unveil prediction markets and tokenized equities on December 17. The launch will feature in-house developed tokenized stocks, making it a significant step for the largest US crypto exchange.
The article discusses the decline of airdrops in the crypto space and highlights Kalshi and Polymarket as promising platforms for generating income through prediction markets. It emphasizes focusing on high-probability outcomes and suggests using bots for potential profit.
The article critiques creator tokens, highlighting their flaws in the context of creator monetization. It argues that these tokens create parasocial dynamics and lead to unsustainable market structures, proposing Melee as a better alternative that allows creators to earn without becoming the product.
Fanatics is partnering with Crypto.com to enter the prediction markets space, with a platform expected to launch in the coming weeks. Details on its features remain unclear, and regulatory challenges could affect its availability across the U.S.
Michael Selig, the new chair of the CFTC, has introduced an innovation committee to explore regulation of prediction markets and digital assets. This move coincides with ongoing Congressional discussions about expanding the agency's authority in the crypto space, amid rising concerns over insider trading in prediction markets.
Crypto.com is introducing a new platform called OG for prediction markets, just ahead of the Super Bowl. The move follows a significant increase in its event contracts business, which saw a 40-fold growth over the last six months. CEO Kris Marszalek believes a dedicated product is necessary to meet rising demand.
Polymarket, a crypto-based prediction markets platform, has received approval from the CFTC to operate in the United States. The ruling follows a no-action letter regarding swap data reporting and recordkeeping regulations, paving the way for Polymarket's entry after a prior federal investigation was dropped.
Polymarket is set to raise $200 million in a new funding round that will value the platform at $1 billion, led by Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund. Despite facing regulatory challenges that resulted in banning US customers, Polymarket has maintained significant activity, particularly during the 2024 US presidential election, and is expanding its offerings through a partnership with Elon Musk's social network, X. The platform's cumulative betting volume is approaching $14.8 billion, with a notable decrease in user activity recently.