2 min read
|
Saved February 14, 2026
|
Copied!
Do you care about this?
The CFTC has approved Gemini's Designated Contract Market license, enabling the launch of a prediction market and potential expansion into crypto futures and options. This approval comes as the regulatory landscape for prediction markets shifts, with increased support from current CFTC leadership.
If you do, here's more
Gemini has secured a Designated Contract Market (DCM) license from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), allowing it to launch a prediction market and possibly branch into crypto futures, options, and perpetual contracts. This license application, submitted in 2020, positions Gemini ahead of a growing trend in prediction markets. Historically, the CFTC has been cautious in regulating these markets, previously banning Polymarket and only selectively approving contracts for Kalshi. However, a recent legal victory for Kalshi concerning political betting markets has opened the door for broader acceptance.
Under Acting Chair Caroline Pham, the CFTC is signaling a shift towards support for prediction markets, which could rival traditional capital markets. Gemini President Cameron Winklevoss highlighted Pham's pro-business stance compared to her predecessors. The Winklevoss twins had previously expressed concerns over Trumpโs initial CFTC pick, Brian Quintenz, due to potential conflicts of interest. While Gemini leads this charge, other exchanges are also making moves into prediction markets, with Crypto.com launching various platforms and Coinbase testing features for a betting market.
The article notes that distribution partner Robinhood has significantly influenced Kalshi's market volumes, at times accounting for over 50%. This emerging landscape, driven by regulatory changes and competitive moves from established platforms, indicates a substantial shift in how crypto-related prediction markets may evolve.
Questions about this article
No questions yet.