Timothy Chambers outlines his predictions for the Open Social Web in 2026, focusing on user growth and platform developments. He categorizes his predictions into three levels of certainty, covering platforms like Bluesky, Threads, and the ActivityPub Fediverse.

Bluesky has reached 40 million users, a rise from 38 million in August, but its growth rate has significantly declined. After an initial surge last year, the app now adds about 1.4 million users per month, well below its previous peak. Despite this slowdown, Bluesky remains relevant for its dedicated user base and has introduced new features to enhance engagement.