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David George discusses the complexities of valuing high-growth companies, particularly those growing above 30%. He explains that conventional financial modeling struggles to account for sustained high growth, leading to undervaluation in the market. George emphasizes the importance of insights into products, markets, and people to identify potentially great companies.
- Standard financial models can't reasonably project sustained 30%+ growth, so Wall Street defaults to assuming decay, systematically undervaluing durable high-growth companies (a16z's portfolio: 112% growth at 21x revenue).
- Apple's iPhone growth consistently blew past consensus estimates, showing even well-known products can sustain growth far longer than models predict.
- Because modeling can't capture this, the edge comes from qualitative insight into product, market, and people—not spreadsheet forecasting.
- The investing philosophy is paying fair prices for truly exceptional companies rather than hunting for cheap ones, since the market's blind spot on sustained growth creates the mispricing opportunity.