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This post lists nine key quotes from a San Francisco talk by Demis Hassabis and Sebastian Mallaby covering everything from OpenAI’s 50% bankruptcy risk to the need for new “AlphaFold” moments in drug discovery. They debate AGI probabilities, frontier cyber defense access, global AI optimism, and the economic and philosophical challenges of a post-scarcity future.
- Mallaby puts a 50% chance OpenAI goes bankrupt within 18 months
- Hassabis says six more AlphaFold-level breakthroughs are needed to cut drug-delivery timelines from 10 years to months
- Hassabis calls the idea that p(doom) is zero "crazy," acknowledging real existential risk from AI
- Hassabis argues economists, social scientists, and philosophers must join scientists in shaping decisions about how AI's value gets shared