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Saved February 14, 2026
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This article presents the T-Score methodology, which helps B2B founders determine the best timing for product launches by analyzing market readiness, defensibility, and customer acquisition cost volatility. It outlines the risks of launching too early or too late and provides a practical framework for making informed timing decisions.
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The article introduces the T-Score methodology, a quantitative framework designed for B2B founders to determine the best timing for launching products. It emphasizes that market timing isn't about intuition but about analyzing specific data points: Market Readiness Score, Defensibility Index, and Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC) Volatility. By calculating these variables, founders can arrive at a T-Score that indicates whether they should launch or wait. A T-Score below 8 suggests it’s too early, while scores between 12-20 are ideal for entering the market.
The article highlights the risks of early launches through the example of Pebble, which, despite raising over $50 million and having a solid product, failed due to poor timing. Historical data reveals that true pioneers often struggle in the long run, with a failure rate of 47% and an average market share of just 10%. In contrast, companies that enter the market later—after pioneers have paved the way—often see greater success, achieving a 78% success rate when their T-Scores fall within the optimal range. The framework also includes a quick calculator for founders pressed for time, allowing them to make preliminary decisions efficiently.
Overall, the T-Score methodology aims to reduce the uncertainty around timing decisions, transforming weeks of strategic debate into actionable insights in just a few hours. By relying on data instead of gut feelings, founders can better position themselves within the market's evolving landscape.
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