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Saved February 14, 2026
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The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell slightly to 98.2 in October, remaining just above the long-term average. Key issues include persistent labor shortages and declining sales, with many owners struggling to fill job openings and report negative profit trends.
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The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index dropped by 0.6 points in October, landing at 98.2. While this figure is still above the 52-year average of 98, it signals a slight decline in sentiment among small business owners. The Uncertainty Index saw a significant decline of 12 points, reaching its lowest level this year at 88. Despite some easing in uncertainty, business owners reported lower sales and reduced profits. Labor quality remains a pressing issue, with 27% of owners identifying it as their top concern, a jump of 9 points since September.
Job openings that businesses can't fill held steady at 32%, unchanged for two months. Among those trying to hire, 88% struggled to find qualified applicants. Hiring plans for the next three months showed a slight decrease, with only a net 15% planning to create new jobs. Business owners also reported a negative trend in profits, with a net negative 25% indicating falling profit levels, primarily due to weaker sales and rising material costs.
Inventory management is another area of concern. A net negative 6% reported inventory gains, and a growing number of owners viewed their current stock levels as too low. Price increases have moderated, with a net 21% raising selling prices, though this remains above the monthly average seen in the past. Overall, small business owners are feeling the pinch of economic pressures, with a declining number assessing their business health as good, reflecting a broader trend of caution in the small business sector.
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