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ARK Invest predicts Bitcoin could make up 70% of a $28 trillion digital asset market by 2030, with significant growth in tokenized real-world assets and decentralized finance applications. Regulatory clarity will be key for mainstream adoption and scaling these innovations.
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ARK Invest predicts that Bitcoin could capture about 70% of a projected $28 trillion digital asset market by 2030, largely due to the rise of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and increased interest from corporate treasuries. The report emphasizes a shift in decentralized finance (DeFi), where the focus is moving from networks to applications that can generate revenue. These applications are scaling quickly and may begin to compete with traditional fintech platforms. Tokenized assets, including real estate and commodities, are also gaining traction, with forecasts suggesting their market could reach $11 trillion by 2030.
Experts highlight that regulatory clarity will play a significant role in determining the future of crypto, especially for DeFi and tokenized assets. Currently, Bitcoin is maturing as an institutional asset, with U.S. ETFs and public companies holding 12% of its total supply, an increase from 8.7% in early 2025. The report shows Bitcoin's volatility is decreasing, with less dramatic price swings over time. As of now, Bitcoin is trading just below $90,000 but has experienced fluctuations due to geopolitical events.
DeFi applications generated record revenues in 2025, totaling $3.8 billion, with platforms like Hyperliquid achieving impressive earnings with minimal staff. The analysis suggests that tokenized markets could become the backbone of economic activity within the digital asset space. While ARK’s report also touches on sectors like AI and autonomous vehicles, the current sentiment in prediction markets indicates that traders see crypto as more likely to experience a bubble burst before AI does.
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