9 min read
|
Saved February 14, 2026
|
Copied!
Do you care about this?
Nic Carter discusses the potential dangers quantum computing poses to Bitcoin, particularly its reliance on elliptic curve cryptography. He emphasizes the urgency for the Bitcoin community to prepare for a future where quantum technology could compromise the network's security and integrity.
If you do, here's more
Nic Carter warns that Bitcoin developers may be ignoring an impending crisis related to quantum computing. The core of Bitcoin's security relies on elliptic curve cryptography, which quantum computers could potentially break, as outlined by Peter Shor's algorithm. Current estimates suggest that by 2033, quantum computers capable of compromising this security might be developed. The U.S. government's NIST has urged agencies to phase out quantum-vulnerable cryptographic systems by 2030, which places pressure on Bitcoiners to act.
Carter outlines the risks: around 6.7 million BTC, valued at roughly $604 billion, are currently at risk if a powerful quantum computer is created. Transitioning Bitcoin to a post-quantum signature scheme would be complicated. It involves not only selecting a new cryptographic method but also executing a soft fork and moving millions of addresses to this new system. This process could take years, and many Bitcoin users may not be prepared for such a significant shift.
The situation is complicated further by an estimated 1.7 million BTC, linked to Satoshi and early miners, that are effectively lost in old address types and cannot be easily moved. This raises challenging questions for the Bitcoin community regarding how to handle these coins if quantum threats become real. Carter highlights the possibility of a panic-induced split within the community, which could undermine trust in Bitcoin. He emphasizes that the stakes are high; a failure to address these vulnerabilities could lead to significant loss of confidence among investors and institutional players.
Questions about this article
No questions yet.