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Saved February 14, 2026
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The article explores the ongoing cycle of attempts to simplify software development and reduce the need for specialized developers. It highlights historical examples, from COBOL to modern AI tools, showing that while tools may change, the inherent complexity of software creation remains. Ultimately, experienced developers are still essential for navigating this complexity.
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The article explores a recurring cycle in software development where the promise of reducing the need for developers consistently falls short. Since the introduction of COBOL in the late 1960s, which aimed to make programming accessible to business analysts, the expectation has been that software development could be simplified enough to eliminate the need for specialized knowledge. However, each attempt—whether it was COBOL, Computer-Aided Software Engineering tools in the 1980s, or low-code platforms—has ultimately shown that complexity in software design requires deep understanding and expertise.
The author traces this pattern through various technological advancements, illustrating that while tools have made certain aspects of development easier and more accessible, they have not removed the necessity for skilled developers. For instance, Visual Basic allowed more users to create applications with a simpler interface, but as applications grew in complexity, the need for experienced developers became evident again. Today’s AI coding assistants are the latest attempt to address this issue. While they can generate code from natural language and assist with debugging, they cannot replace human judgment in evaluating the generated code’s effectiveness, security, and integration with existing systems.
Despite significant advancements in computing power and development tools, the demand for software continues to exceed supply. Organizations face growing backlogs of desired features and projects, leading business leaders to hope for a solution that would reduce reliance on developers. However, the article emphasizes that the fundamental complexities of software development remain unchanged, underscoring the continuous need for skilled professionals who can navigate these challenges effectively.
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